0xc8C97fFDB0f3a1620E67e2C48A6239c97666a94a-1783373255059
0xc8c97ffdb0f3a1620e67e2c48a6239c97666a94a
- Realised P&L
- $140.00
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$31.65at 0.700Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
- +$29.59at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 21:55 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.66 |
| 10-13 21:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-13 21:52 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-12 22:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $2.45 |
| 10-12 21:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 21:42 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $12.54 |
| 10-12 21:41 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.21 |
| 10-12 21:41 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.062101 | $6.21 |
| 10-11 18:43 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.288250497 | $40.60 |
| 10-11 18:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.585 | $11.70 |
| 10-11 18:42 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.4520512 | $28.25 |
| 10-11 18:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $100.62 |
| 10-11 18:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.9352437105 | $127.14 |
| 10-11 00:13 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $91.50 |
| 10-10 11:41 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.953 | $4.76 |