PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc8C97fFDB0f3a1620E67e2C48A6239c97666a94a-1783373255059

0xc8c97ffdb0f3a1620e67e2c48a6239c97666a94a

Realised P&L
$140.00
Volume
$38.0k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$10.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9590.973$5.3k+$74.98
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9390.960$4.0k+$84.47
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.8630.845$338.20−$7.38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.4440.425$191.24−$8.58
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5820.575$132.24−$1.69
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.6640.613$128.63−$10.77
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3610.350$97.99−$3.00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · No0.9390.945$96.85+$0.57
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.6480.655$65.50+$0.70
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7060.695$55.60−$0.90
Claude 6 released by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9300.925$46.25−$0.25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3700.375$43.89+$0.54
Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.7000.725$43.50+$1.50
Will Order of the Sinking Star win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.0230.043$20.95+$9.92
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.8600.890$17.80+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 21:55Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.005$0.66
10-13 21:52Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.39$7.80
10-13 21:52Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?BUY0.39$7.80
10-12 22:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSELL0.24$2.45
10-12 21:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.4899999824$5.00
10-12 21:42Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.22$12.54
10-12 21:41Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?SELL0.08$4.21
10-12 21:41Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.062101$6.21
10-11 18:43Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?SELL0.288250497$40.60
10-11 18:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?SELL0.585$11.70
10-11 18:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?SELL0.4520512$28.25
10-11 18:41Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?SELL0.83$100.62
10-11 18:40Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?SELL0.9352437105$127.14
10-11 00:13Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.61$91.50
10-10 11:41China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.953$4.76