PolyBot

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Traders

0xC83d907391738A1e529E6d47e162eF7262c8092A-1779277959370

0xc83d907391738a1e529e6d47e162ef7262c8092a

Realised P&L
$-35.86
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$26.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes0.1100.095$8.65−$1.35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.235$6.91−$3.09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.095$5.59−$4.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0660.019$2.95−$7.05
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1800.048$2.67−$7.33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$10.00
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00−$10.00
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$10.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 18:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?BUY0.01$10.00
05-20 18:07Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.0737333563$10.00
05-20 18:05Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.0561415508$10.00
05-20 18:04US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.056676429$10.00
05-20 18:01Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.01$10.00
05-20 17:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.23$20.91
05-20 17:57Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.72$25.32
05-20 13:362026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.3399999857$10.00
05-20 13:33Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.179999987$10.00
05-20 13:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
05-20 13:29Starmer out by May 31, 2026?BUY0.054999995$10.00
05-20 13:27Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.2843137116$10.00
05-20 13:20Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1098396246$10.00
05-20 13:13Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
05-20 13:13Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0659999941$10.00