0xC83d907391738A1e529E6d47e162eF7262c8092A-1779277959370
0xc83d907391738a1e529e6d47e162ef7262c8092a
- Realised P&L
- $-35.86
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $26.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.095 | $8.65 | −$1.35 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.340 | 0.235 | $6.91 | −$3.09 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.095 | $5.59 | −$4.41 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.019 | $2.95 | −$7.05 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.048 | $2.67 | −$7.33 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.75at 0.292Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
- +$10.91at 0.110US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 18:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 18:07 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0737333563 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 18:05 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.0561415508 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 18:04 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.056676429 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 18:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 17:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $20.91 |
| 05-20 17:57 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $25.32 |
| 05-20 13:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:33 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:29 | Starmer out by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.054999995 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:27 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2843137116 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:20 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | BUY | 0.1098396246 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 13:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0659999941 | $10.00 |