PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hype589

0xc8243e8e85927e32991a4720b9c1bb1ede1bdf08

Realised P&L
$-21.2k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.973$680.75+$160.75
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7510.920$373.52+$68.70
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.963$320.62+$24.14
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.964$257.07+$57.07
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.945$118.06+$18.06
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.1100.397$53.34+$38.56
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9770.992$29.97+$0.43
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3960.572$28.86+$8.86
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.415$20.75+$0.75
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9750.957$16.68$0.32
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.9500.551$5.81$4.19
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9670.905$4.68$0.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00$12.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.5760.000$0.00$4.63
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-19 13:08Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.987$110.89
06-01 17:17Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7898$197.45
06-01 17:17Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.72$72.72
06-01 17:16Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.63$34.65
05-09 15:13FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.2799999978$71.00
05-04 22:51Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?BUY0.99$99.00
05-04 22:18Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.89$89.00
04-28 12:36Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?SELL0.999$99.86
04-27 09:01Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?SELL0.998$9.98
04-24 10:28Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?BUY0.994$695.20
04-22 16:58Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?BUY0.359999987$9.62
04-21 08:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$20.00
04-21 08:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.395999992$20.00
04-21 07:52Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?BUY0.994$496.57
04-15 08:04Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.6$60.00