PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Hype589

0xc8243e8e85927e32991a4720b9c1bb1ede1bdf08

Realised P&L
$-21.6k
Volume
$1.25M
Markets traded
305
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded305
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8710.961$1.4k+$129.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7430.895$626.50+$106.50
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.962$320.45+$23.98
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1420.455$273.00+$188.00
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7510.625$253.75$51.07
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.920$245.33+$45.33
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9901.000$202.02+$2.02
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.3700.715$143.00+$69.00
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.953$119.06+$19.06
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.964$108.26+$8.26
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? · No0.9401.000$106.38+$6.38
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.9001.000$100.00+$10.00
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.900$90.00+$25.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.8701.000$74.39+$9.67
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.645$32.25+$12.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 17:17Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7898$197.45
06-01 17:17Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.72$72.72
06-01 17:16Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.63$34.65
05-09 15:13FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.2799999978$71.00
05-04 22:51Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?BUY0.99$99.00
05-04 22:18Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.89$89.00
04-28 12:36Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?SELL0.999$99.86
04-27 09:01Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?SELL0.998$9.98
04-24 10:28Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?BUY0.994$695.20
04-22 16:58Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?BUY0.359999987$9.62
04-21 08:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$20.00
04-21 08:07Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.395999992$20.00
04-21 07:52Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?BUY0.994$496.57
04-15 08:04Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.6$60.00
04-15 08:03Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?BUY0.993$198.40