Hype589
0xc8243e8e85927e32991a4720b9c1bb1ede1bdf08
- Realised P&L
- $-21.6k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 305
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded305
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.130Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.358Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$1.4kat 0.777Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$807.65at 0.292Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$743.00at 0.500Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 17:17 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7898 | $197.45 |
| 06-01 17:17 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.72 |
| 06-01 17:16 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.63 | $34.65 |
| 05-09 15:13 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $71.00 |
| 05-04 22:51 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 05-04 22:18 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 04-28 12:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.86 |
| 04-27 09:01 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 04-24 10:28 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April? | BUY | 0.994 | $695.20 |
| 04-22 16:58 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $9.62 |
| 04-21 08:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 08:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.395999992 | $20.00 |
| 04-21 07:52 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April? | BUY | 0.994 | $496.57 |
| 04-15 08:04 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 04-15 08:03 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April? | BUY | 0.993 | $198.40 |