PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xC81B89A9267565f6185B333300e09be8A579EdFb-1756978607648

0xc81b89a9267565f6185b333300e09be8a579edfb

Realised P&L
$-327.06
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$346.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.946$94.55+$3.14
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8400.935$93.59+$9.51
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.935$93.50+$9.50
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.5200.215$22.98$32.60
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.6700.175$17.50$49.50
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.4000.095$9.50$30.50
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9190.300$5.05$10.43
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8640.098$3.86$30.34
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3280.065$2.00$8.19
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5700.825$1.67+$0.52
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.5300.575$1.14+$0.09
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4600.225$0.47$0.49
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$0.28$0.78
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.135$0.24$0.43
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.085$0.16$0.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 05:16SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.09$3.15
05-13 07:34Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.96$63.36
03-10 03:57Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.92$100.00
02-09 03:11Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$19.27
02-07 06:04Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.16$12.68
02-07 03:22Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.7088376754$70.74
02-06 06:11Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.487$12.17
02-06 05:33Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?SELL0.0616979128$5.00
02-05 20:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$79.00
02-05 20:31Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8178332358$153.70
02-05 19:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.78$61.23
02-05 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.78$390.00
02-05 17:24Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.965$43.70
02-05 16:01Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL0.2407254788$16.59
02-05 09:00Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.8428727727$53.93