PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC81B89A9267565f6185B333300e09be8A579EdFb-1756978607648

0xc81b89a9267565f6185b333300e09be8a579edfb

Realised P&L
$-242.20
Volume
$36.7k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$429.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.5201.000$106.90+$51.31
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.8400.982$98.25+$14.16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9140.958$95.75+$4.34
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.945$94.50+$10.50
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.6700.155$15.50$51.49
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? · Yes0.4000.065$6.50$33.50
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8640.162$6.41$27.79
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5700.954$1.94+$0.78
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9190.102$1.71$13.77
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3280.026$0.82$9.37
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4600.120$0.25$0.71
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6000.125$0.24$0.90
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2100.040$0.20$0.85
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.105$0.19$0.49
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.6720.068$0.12$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-17 05:16SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.09$3.15
05-13 07:34Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?SELL0.96$63.36
03-10 03:57Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.92$100.00
02-09 03:11Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.31$19.27
02-07 06:04Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.16$12.68
02-07 03:22Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.7088376754$70.74
02-06 06:11Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.487$12.17
02-06 05:33Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?SELL0.0616979128$5.00
02-05 20:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$79.00
02-05 20:31Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8178332358$153.70
02-05 19:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.78$61.23
02-05 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.78$390.00
02-05 17:24Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.965$43.70
02-05 16:01Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL0.2407254788$16.59
02-05 09:00Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.8428727727$53.93