0xC81B89A9267565f6185B333300e09be8A579EdFb-1756978607648
0xc81b89a9267565f6185b333300e09be8a579edfb
- Realised P&L
- $-327.06
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $346.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.15at 0.852US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
- +$105.97at 0.470Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$84.01at 0.160Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$77.42at 0.210Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?
- +$72.98at 0.780Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:16 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.15 |
| 05-13 07:34 | Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $63.36 |
| 03-10 03:57 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 03:11 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $19.27 |
| 02-07 06:04 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $12.68 |
| 02-07 03:22 | Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7088376754 | $70.74 |
| 02-06 06:11 | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.487 | $12.17 |
| 02-06 05:33 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? | SELL | 0.0616979128 | $5.00 |
| 02-05 20:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $79.00 |
| 02-05 20:31 | Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8178332358 | $153.70 |
| 02-05 19:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.78 | $61.23 |
| 02-05 17:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $390.00 |
| 02-05 17:24 | Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.965 | $43.70 |
| 02-05 16:01 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.2407254788 | $16.59 |
| 02-05 09:00 | Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.8428727727 | $53.93 |