Hook65
0xc7baf55cd0cdd74a1800690af1426b1145ba2b58
- Realised P&L
- $-92.37
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $34.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.115 | $18.44 | −$29.66 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.961 | $9.61 | +$0.91 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.160 | $6.02 | −$3.98 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.075 | $0.75 | −$0.85 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.342 | 0.002 | $0.06 | −$9.94 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.49at 0.690U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?
- +$3.28at 0.670Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$2.99at 0.770Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?
- +$1.71at 0.854Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
- +$1.11at 0.900Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 05:58 | X banned in any European country by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 06-08 18:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.28 |
| 06-08 18:48 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 06-07 11:38 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.23 |
| 05-26 20:19 | Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 05-26 20:18 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | SELL | 0.984 | $10.22 |
| 05-23 06:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 06:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.9619999367 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 06:40 | Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.3420239812 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 10:16 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.40 |
| 05-02 12:43 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.8552 | $8.55 |
| 05-02 12:41 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2649999809 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 12:39 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 05-02 12:38 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.22 |
| 04-26 12:48 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |