fightingformoney
0xc798d99d5b995131a7eb85ee8a673d5be6a8b655
- Realised P&L
- $-71.37
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $119.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.36at 0.774Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
- +$77.04at 0.037Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
- +$48.77at 0.734Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
- +$44.49at 0.722Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$43.47at 0.723Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 12:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.08 |
| 09-04 06:04 | Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.00 |
| 07-18 11:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 07-15 01:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 07-07 00:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.78386 | $31.35 |
| 07-06 09:59 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 07-01 14:15 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.32 |
| 06-26 06:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.094106 | $9.41 |
| 06-18 00:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $8.24 |
| 06-17 01:15 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 06-16 13:50 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-15 05:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 06-14 15:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 06-04 13:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 06-04 13:24 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |