PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fightingformoney

0xc798d99d5b995131a7eb85ee8a673d5be6a8b655

Realised P&L
$-71.37
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$119.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7600.930$46.50+$8.50
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.4400.540$27.00+$5.00
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9220.959$23.98+$0.93
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3000.305$12.20+$0.20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5980.447$4.46$1.51
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? · Yes0.1700.185$3.70+$0.30
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75$0.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0370.006$0.65$3.05
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0980.015$0.61$3.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$45.84
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.0520.000$0.00$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$2.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 12:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.19$6.08
09-04 06:04Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3$12.00
07-18 11:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.53$5.30
07-15 01:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.91$9.10
07-07 00:41Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.78386$31.35
07-06 09:59Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.84$33.60
07-01 14:15Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.12$1.32
06-26 06:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.094106$9.41
06-18 00:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.55$8.24
06-17 01:15Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?SELL0.13$1.30
06-16 13:50Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.12$1.20
06-15 05:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.29$5.80
06-14 15:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.16$1.60
06-04 13:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.17$1.70
06-04 13:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.17$1.70