PolyBot

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Traders

Alphax

0xc781e8dd03946230f2f32ab36077998bcb4a59d7

Realised P&L
$-202.6k
Volume
$19.60M
Markets traded
1,479
Open portfolio
$18.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,479
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:11Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.55$5.50
09-16 17:55Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.86$80.72
09-10 12:39Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.58$58.00
09-09 22:15Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$20.24
09-07 23:26Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$5.28
09-07 22:24Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.96$2.9k
09-07 14:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.63$442.98
09-07 11:42Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.2$13.80
09-07 10:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.38$221.02
09-06 23:57Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$4.35
09-06 18:10Will AfD win at least 45% of all valid second votes?BUY0.89$115.70
09-06 18:03Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.8$312.10
09-03 10:22Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.36$3.60
09-02 12:47Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.57$1.3k
09-01 19:51Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.58$11.60