PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cyrcha

0xc6cd90ab378c9da43fc8023b0772ef07e2ad07a8

Realised P&L
$1.27
Volume
$271.21
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$20.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.1000.095$9.50−$0.50
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? · Yes0.1880.175$4.65−$0.35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6800.715$1.05+$0.05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6900.705$1.02+$0.02
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.745$1.02+$0.02
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? · Yes0.2500.255$1.02+$0.02
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$0.98−$0.02
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.1800.175$0.97−$0.03
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.0130.006$0.45−$0.55
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils · Alex Michelsen0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur Fils · Arthur Fils0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:14Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Arthur FilsBUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-30 13:33Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.0133333333$1.00
10-30 08:04Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.25$1.00
10-30 07:56Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-30 07:56Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-29 15:45Courmayeur: Susan Bandecchi vs Elsa JacquemotBUY0.29999994$1.00
10-29 15:45Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur FilsBUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-29 15:22Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?BUY0.1881188074$5.00
10-29 13:03Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
10-29 13:03Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-29 13:03Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-29 11:57Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-29 11:56Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-29 11:49Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
10-29 11:49Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.9$1.00