0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920
0xc4a7523e78d5a904d9f03bebba723b7a8bf9898a
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $372.3k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $17.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.34at 0.987Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$134.84at 0.974Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$77.36at 0.985Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$64.36at 0.532UFC Fight Night: Gigi Canuto vs. Carol Foro (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
- +$62.31at 0.789UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 20:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.71 |
| 08-16 04:13 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.76 | $33.39 |
| 08-16 04:11 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.73 | $3.87 |
| 08-16 04:11 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-11 18:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $19.05 |
| 08-11 18:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.984 | $0.69 |
| 08-11 18:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.983 | $0.78 |
| 08-11 17:37 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.985 | $26.65 |
| 08-10 19:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.987 | $34.75 |
| 08-05 08:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.69 |
| 08-01 20:51 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.75 |
| 08-01 15:38 | UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.59 | $24.24 |
| 07-27 15:27 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.42 |
| 07-25 18:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.36 | $9.68 |
| 07-25 06:44 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.988 | $80.03 |