0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920
0xc4a7523e78d5a904d9f03bebba723b7a8bf9898a
- Realised P&L
- $961.82
- Volume
- $346.1k
- Markets traded
- 398
- Open portfolio
- $18.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded398
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.34at 0.987Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$134.84at 0.974Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
- +$77.60at 0.985Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
- +$62.00at 0.964Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$52.76at 0.979Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:51 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $24.75 |
| 08-01 15:38 | UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.59 | $24.24 |
| 07-27 15:27 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.42 |
| 07-25 18:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.36 | $9.68 |
| 07-25 06:44 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.988 | $80.03 |
| 07-24 16:16 | Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? | BUY | 0.943 | $4.71 |
| 07-23 06:39 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.991 | $0.32 |
| 07-22 15:03 | Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $6.19 |
| 07-19 03:08 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.99 | $35.16 |
| 07-19 02:51 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.87 | $0.35 |
| 07-19 01:57 | UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.78 | $24.99 |
| 07-18 21:05 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.984 | $0.71 |
| 07-18 14:19 | UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.77 | $6.43 |
| 07-17 15:57 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.11 |
| 07-13 14:53 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |