PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC4A7523e78D5a904d9f03BebBa723b7A8bF9898A-1773297208920

0xc4a7523e78d5a904d9f03bebba723b7a8bf9898a

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$372.3k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$17.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.9410.995$2.6k+$139.89
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9520.972$2.3k+$45.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9740.995$1.8k+$36.84
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9300.945$1.6k+$26.20
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9500.975$1.4k+$36.84
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9570.978$1.3k+$26.61
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9250.945$976.17+$20.67
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9390.974$797.53+$28.38
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.9560.997$683.93+$27.68
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9740.996$605.85+$13.32
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.973$468.44+$8.55
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.935$292.26$4.69
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.6630.820$266.48+$51.03
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.968$203.09+$9.88
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.8780.945$191.79+$13.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 20:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.989$9.71
08-16 04:13UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)SELL0.76$33.39
08-16 04:11UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.73$3.87
08-16 04:11UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.73$3.65
08-11 18:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.985$19.05
08-11 18:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.984$0.69
08-11 18:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.983$0.78
08-11 17:37Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.985$26.65
08-10 19:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.987$34.75
08-05 08:19Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.969$9.69
08-01 20:51Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$24.75
08-01 15:38UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.59$24.24
07-27 15:27Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$4.42
07-25 18:00UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.36$9.68
07-25 06:44Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?BUY0.988$80.03