PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dumb-trader67

0xc4843becbc3252a6a83a698e106f29aa79164cd5

Realised P&L
$-170.98
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$7.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3300.165$5.6k$5.6k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1370.065$1.6k$1.7k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$69.24$98.16
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · Yes0.3100.027$54.00$566.00
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0990.022$22.50$76.50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2200.000$0.00$2.0k
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$256.48
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$783.16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$32.22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.2960.000$0.00$206.99
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$539.44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00$45.90
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$50.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:45Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.924$256.66
07-14 21:23Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$298.20
07-07 12:16Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6699999993$200.00
07-07 12:15Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0029999997$10.00
07-07 12:15Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.01$20.00
07-07 12:15Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0279999991$30.00
07-07 12:11Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.055999999$50.00
07-07 12:06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
06-16 10:20Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.7239276$723.93
06-16 10:20Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.61$12.20
06-16 10:18Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$9.79
06-16 10:18Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.8$7.99
06-05 08:32Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?BUY0.0847894737$32.22
06-05 08:31Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?BUY0.153$45.90
05-26 09:35Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.099$99.00