0xc4832d0127449fea416801951743e72ee9636e84
0xc4832d0127449fea416801951743e72ee9636e84
- Realised P&L
- $-3.42
- Volume
- $200.90
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $19.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.734Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.089Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
- +$-6.03at 0.547Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 15:04 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998839 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 17:31 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:31 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:30 | Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:29 | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:28 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:27 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.309999849 | $1.15 |
| 08-02 17:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:18 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2779998226 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 17:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 12:36 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0307939124 | $1.07 |
| 07-20 12:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.08 |
| 07-19 20:26 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4399999776 | $4.72 |