0xc44A0E315C7381030F114023ccA27b174D248Da6-1771435634104
0xc44a0e315c7381030f114023cca27b174d248da6
- Realised P&L
- $-8.8k
- Volume
- $540.3k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $214.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.025US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.223Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.309Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.1kat 0.169US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:16 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $117.55 |
| 09-15 12:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $31.58 |
| 09-12 16:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 16:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.1366030908 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 19:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6299999996 | $397.00 |
| 09-04 16:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0578699706 | $49.00 |
| 09-01 19:04 | Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? | BUY | 0.0533624878 | $53.95 |
| 09-01 17:51 | Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0011737418 | $1.22 |
| 08-31 21:52 | Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0141140246 | $1.88 |
| 08-31 21:51 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.004950432 | $12.38 |
| 08-31 12:53 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |
| 08-31 12:33 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1068525504 | $100.00 |
| 08-31 12:33 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 22:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.0202004172 | $28.86 |
| 08-30 22:30 | Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2751894932 | $100.00 |