PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xc44A0E315C7381030F114023ccA27b174D248Da6-1771435634104

0xc44a0e315c7381030f114023cca27b174d248da6

Realised P&L
$-8.8k
Volume
$540.3k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$214.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.11$117.55
09-15 12:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$31.58
09-12 16:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.1$100.00
09-12 16:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.1366030908$100.00
09-06 19:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6299999996$397.00
09-04 16:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.0578699706$49.00
09-01 19:04Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?BUY0.0533624878$53.95
09-01 17:51Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0011737418$1.22
08-31 21:52Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?SELL0.0141140246$1.88
08-31 21:51Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.004950432$12.38
08-31 12:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.16$200.00
08-31 12:33Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1068525504$100.00
08-31 12:33Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.1$100.00
08-30 22:56Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.0202004172$28.86
08-30 22:30Will Iran target Bahrain by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2751894932$100.00