0xc422272c6dafa6a37645dd8e9a1a6728d73fae44
0xc422272c6dafa6a37645dd8e9a1a6728d73fae44
- Realised P&L
- $-374.93
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $165.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.971 | $138.91 | +$38.91 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.080 | $24.94 | −$100.70 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.559 | 0.015 | $1.77 | −$66.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.25at 0.632Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$23.31at 0.475Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$18.75at 0.755Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
- +$17.39at 0.878US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
- +$16.04at 0.537Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 04:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $120.28 |
| 09-09 08:56 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-09 08:52 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.93 | $129.79 |
| 07-02 02:09 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.055 | $33.13 |
| 06-26 11:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 05:07 | Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 05:06 | Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 06-26 03:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 16:02 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 16:02 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 16:01 | Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 16:00 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $38.89 |
| 06-18 14:13 | Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 14:13 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.22 |
| 06-18 14:12 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |