PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ChetterHummin

0xc40681969b90c1e54527775fa48273a06bef07d9

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$1.67M
Markets traded
1,616
Open portfolio
$31.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,616
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7910.958$3.5k+$602.36
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.6630.805$3.1k+$549.42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.192$1.9k+$1.8k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.3800.795$1.6k+$830.52
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · No0.8710.978$1.5k+$167.70
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? · No0.8600.905$1.2k+$61.04
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.6130.815$1.2k+$303.35
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.6700.795$1.2k+$187.50
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0290.049$974.85+$397.50
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8300.950$968.84+$122.38
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8970.951$939.00+$52.98
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.4510.710$733.42+$267.92
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.140$697.26+$661.10
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8850.925$647.34+$27.67
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.9030.955$606.13+$32.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:32Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.64$100.00
06-15 14:31Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.93$250.00
06-15 14:30Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7099999993$250.00
06-15 14:30Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7599999995$250.00
05-28 05:46Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?BUY0.36$3.60
05-28 05:46Will Trump say "NATO" this week?BUY0.575$5.75
05-28 05:44Will Vance say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Air Force Academy Address?BUY0.75$150.00
05-28 05:43Will Vance say "Nuclear" during Air Force Academy Address?BUY0.4831592$241.58
05-28 05:43Will Vance say "Epic Fury" during Air Force Academy Address?BUY0.725$7.25
05-28 05:43Will Vance say "Long Blue Line" during Air Force Academy Address?BUY0.7017611561$88.38
05-01 18:51Will Trump say "Lunatic" this week? (April 27 - May 3)BUY0.78$78.00
05-01 18:51Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (April 27 - May 3)BUY0.7637377691$19.51
05-01 18:51Will Trump say "TrumpRX" this week? (April 27 - May 3)BUY0.6009090909$99.15
05-01 18:48Will Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?BUY0.6$240.00
04-29 17:24Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?BUY0.0245687053$21.60