PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gumpbaby

0xc3ca883f3b752c2eeb2de06a0fdaafc632c3ca7c

Realised P&L
$30.25
Volume
$26.5k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$233.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0310.029$115.28$5.86
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.7460.967$72.53+$16.58
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.021$41.00$16.62
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1900.680$4.53+$3.26
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$13.60
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA · Latvia0.0500.000$0.00$2.50
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$17.40
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00$43.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 04:27Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0309999998$121.14
03-10 06:45Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.75$150.00
03-04 22:01Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.181$15.44
03-01 04:35Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.126$63.61
02-28 22:39Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?SELL0.009$0.18
02-28 22:39Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?SELL0.002$0.04
02-28 20:24Will Khamenei tweet again by March 3?BUY0.79$3.95
02-10 21:15Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?BUY0.69$3.91
02-09 18:30Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.998$37.34
02-08 23:19Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.46$9.20
02-08 22:30Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5BUY0.53$5.30
02-08 20:24Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)BUY0.5$2.50
12-30 18:45Will $DJT's market cap be less than 3.5bBUY0.21$4.20
12-11 03:14Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.6$6.00
12-11 03:11Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.27$10.26