PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Gumpbaby

0xc3ca883f3b752c2eeb2de06a0fdaafc632c3ca7c

Realised P&L
$58.04
Volume
$27.4k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$271.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.1920.245$122.59+$26.40
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0310.035$113.60+$14.40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.015$29.00−$28.62
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.1900.996$6.63+$5.37
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$13.60
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA · Latvia0.0500.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$17.40
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00−$43.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:28Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.2$22.44
10-11 17:25Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.033$23.36
10-11 04:35Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.1899999999$73.75
09-03 04:27Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0309999998$121.14
03-10 06:45Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.75$150.00
03-04 22:01Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.181$15.44
03-01 04:35Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.126$63.61
02-28 22:39Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?SELL0.009$0.18
02-28 22:39Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?SELL0.002$0.04
02-28 20:24Will Khamenei tweet again by March 3?BUY0.79$3.95
02-10 21:15Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?BUY0.69$3.91
02-09 18:30Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.998$37.34
02-08 23:19Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.46$9.20
02-08 22:30Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5BUY0.53$5.30
02-08 20:24Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)BUY0.5$2.50