PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc369410F3720C5aE9bB960BDb7EF11EFEDcfbe1C-1775855969381

0xc369410f3720c5ae9bb960bdb7ef11efedcfbe1c

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$13.2k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$294.77

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7400.695$93.92−$6.08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.705$66.51+$16.51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1830.161$43.85−$6.15
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.725$22.31+$2.31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4360.403$18.46−$1.54
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · No0.3100.215$13.87−$6.13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2370.201$8.46−$1.54
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$8.33−$1.67
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5500.435$7.91−$2.09
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.715$5.50+$0.50
French election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0680.071$5.22+$0.22
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0680.003$0.37−$9.63
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.3500.002$0.06−$9.94
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 06:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4359999965$20.00
10-27 06:42Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.236999999$10.00
10-27 06:41Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
10-26 07:16Will Iran target Iraq by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2199999998$20.00
10-26 07:12French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0679999998$5.00
10-26 07:11France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
10-26 07:09Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-26 07:09Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-07 06:26Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$20.00
09-07 06:24Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1829999975$50.00
07-11 13:52Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
07-11 13:38Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.189999988$10.00
07-11 13:37Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.359999987$10.00
07-11 13:35Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
07-11 13:35Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.99799901$1.00