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Traders

KimberlyLawrence8193

0xc3629c93ade971524ceb7bd192a8774a43a57f4f

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$183.4k
Markets traded
325
Open portfolio
$301.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded325
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6000.938$241.07+$86.87
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.50.1600.066$58.43$84.29
Discord IPO before 2027? · No0.0950.894$0.89+$0.80
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0400.548$0.55+$0.51
Makina FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1700.087$0.09$0.08
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.0600.001$0.00$0.18
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-29 13:47Will UConn advance to the Final Four?BUY0.67$103.18
03-25 18:22Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?SELL0.86$103.20
03-24 05:00Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?SELL0.65$139.75
03-23 21:43Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?BUY0.89$106.80
03-23 19:18Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.72$154.80
03-21 20:00Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?SELL0.86$295.84
03-20 18:02Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?BUY0.87$299.28
03-19 03:16Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.2$57.40
03-19 03:15Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.2$119.60
03-19 03:14Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.2$122.00
03-18 14:29Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?SELL0.15$5.85
03-17 17:18Will Trump post "Stupid" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.66$986.70
03-11 03:54Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?SELL0.37$154.29
03-10 15:00Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?SELL0.1$26.40
03-10 11:03Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.76$290.32
Trader KimberlyLawrence8193 · PolyBot Pro