PolyBot

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Traders

DawnOfYemen

0xc34a4af2e3a818fdcdfaa7b5b140eca017ae6007

Realised P&L
$31.4k
Volume
$2.28M
Markets traded
1,588
Open portfolio
$11.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,588
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9590.973$3.9k+$53.59
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1540.153$1.6k−$3.60
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9130.966$1.2k+$63.20
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.8330.875$1.0k+$50.17
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? · No0.8880.935$631.48+$31.49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9120.968$483.75+$27.75
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9400.954$477.01+$7.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.6060.535$423.96−$56.04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5320.413$413.11−$118.67
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9100.950$361.00+$15.20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.5170.345$345.00−$172.39
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4710.403$281.75−$47.76
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8980.955$248.30+$14.70
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · No0.6430.645$102.87+$0.30
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30? · Yes0.2700.245$98.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:37US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.65$32.50
11-01 22:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.64$66.87
11-01 22:34Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.67$100.50
11-01 21:10Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.143$14.30
11-01 21:09Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.14$84.04
11-01 21:08Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.139$59.87
11-01 21:07Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.139$139.00
11-01 21:07Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.139$139.00
10-31 11:15Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)BUY0.962$54.83
10-31 11:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?BUY0.5299999989$208.00
10-31 11:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?SELL0.9604775672$240.20
10-31 11:01US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.62$248.25
10-30 22:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.971$242.75
10-30 22:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
10-30 22:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.92$138.00