PolyBot

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Traders

ForeverAlone69

0xc31fdeab99cc3a1ff67f42cf5dbdde35dce0f04a

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$131.1k
Markets traded
933
Open portfolio
$251.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded933
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1930.123$130.88−$73.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1? · No0.9101.000$49.03+$4.39
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on October 1? · No0.9501.000$29.98+$1.49
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.6280.575$27.67−$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1? · Yes0.5801.000$9.99+$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1? · Yes0.7580.997$3.31+$0.79
Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C or below on October 1? · No0.1000.550$0.61+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.1720.002$0.02−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 1? · Yes0.1400.003$0.02−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.1900.001$0.01−$2.99
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1? · Yes0.0700.001$0.01−$0.99
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$0.18
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.84
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 30? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:36Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1?SELL0.93$26.51
10-01 08:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1?SELL0.92$5.00
10-01 08:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.7584536913$28.25
10-01 08:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 1?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-01 04:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 1?BUY0.0702618928$1.00
10-01 04:32Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.58$5.80
10-01 04:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.191$0.72
10-01 04:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.190999967$1.00
10-01 04:29Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.1473992725$1.00
09-30 23:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.9099999639$14.88
09-30 23:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.9099999639$14.88
09-30 23:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.9099999639$14.88
09-30 22:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-30 22:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-30 22:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.1899999962$1.00