aska666
0xc2f7ed4cc0f8fe2e8aae6d84f787ce7778e4b084
- Realised P&L
- $94.20
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $284.79
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.60at 0.370Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?
- +$11.80at 0.607Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$10.50at 0.300Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
- +$10.20at 0.490Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$7.40at 0.560Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 07:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 10-15 07:18 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.978 | $14.67 |
| 10-15 07:17 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.704 | $7.04 |
| 10-15 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 06:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 09-29 16:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $19.34 |
| 09-25 06:37 | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 08-20 13:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 08-20 12:45 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $9.84 |
| 08-18 16:22 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 08-18 09:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 08-18 09:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 08-18 09:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |