PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zs2ott07

0xc2c5c9b29399c8dba1e78ca8cf01f2c2b6754502

Realised P&L
$515.89
Volume
$118.6k
Markets traded
4,912
Open portfolio
$666.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,912
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9620.981$196.10+$3.70
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9230.971$145.65+$7.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8070.825$123.75+$2.75
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.969$96.85+$4.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9000.955$95.50+$5.50
Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9200.850$8.50−$0.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0380.001$0.15−$11.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.9400.000$0.00−$19.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00−$20.16
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$30.00
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.9600.000$0.00−$19.75
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00−$20.16
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$19.20
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$43.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 18:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.86$86.00
09-29 18:18Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.96$192.00
09-29 18:18Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.953$238.23
09-26 14:48Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.984$49.20
08-21 17:05Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.96$96.00
08-21 07:14Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.72$36.00
07-21 16:33China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.92$92.00
07-20 03:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9$90.00
07-20 03:02Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.972$48.60
07-20 03:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7$35.00
07-20 02:58Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.993$39.67
07-15 05:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819999923$30.00
07-15 05:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.418$14.45
07-15 05:50Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3349999919$20.00
07-12 15:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3889999938$20.00