gambaFanta
0xc2aaa3b23a70bd0bc18f9837d1d355670ddc79e6
- Realised P&L
- $-175.80
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $637.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No | 0.650 | 0.885 | $150.45 | +$39.95 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.745 | $124.42 | −$7.51 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.570 | 0.845 | $84.50 | +$27.50 |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.255 | $59.50 | −$10.50 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.041 | $52.80 | −$57.93 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.165 | $48.53 | −$51.47 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.640 | 0.765 | $45.49 | +$7.43 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $44.32 | −$30.68 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.065 | $27.30 | −$73.50 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.70at 0.770Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
- +$29.55at 0.710 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 10:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.188 | $94.00 |
| 05-23 19:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $131.93 |
| 05-23 19:18 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 05-10 00:09 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $146.30 |
| 05-10 00:08 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $72.36 |
| 05-09 23:57 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $110.50 |
| 05-09 23:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $100.80 |
| 05-05 04:16 | China coup attempt before 2027? | BUY | 0.0849306163 | $110.73 |
| 05-05 04:09 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $70.00 |
| 05-05 03:59 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.06 |
| 05-05 03:59 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $32.00 |
| 04-29 01:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999978 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 01:26 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999988 | $75.00 |