pcb897
0xc213cde579252b0994fe83fb742da9d9d4a41388
- Realised P&L
- $12.6k
- Volume
- $74.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $62.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar17.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.773 | 0.895 | $34.8k | +$4.8k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.780 | 0.885 | $15.4k | +$1.8k |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No | 0.380 | 0.910 | $10.5k | +$6.1k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.710 | 0.835 | $1.2k | +$176.06 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.819 | 0.932 | $113.92 | +$13.92 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.701 | 0.036 | $5.21 | −$94.79 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 20:40 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.78 | $13.6k |
| 05-08 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7799664127 | $8.0k |
| 05-08 20:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $12.0k |
| 05-08 20:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.77 | $10.0k |
| 04-28 14:15 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.3896103895 | $1000.00 |
| 04-28 14:11 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | BUY | 0.3768411841 | $3.4k |
| 04-19 16:41 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8185902136 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 16:40 | Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7006644576 | $100.00 |
| 04-19 16:39 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 04-19 16:38 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.0435624319 | $200.00 |