PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pcb897

0xc213cde579252b0994fe83fb742da9d9d4a41388

Realised P&L
$12.6k
Volume
$74.1k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$62.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar17.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7730.895$34.8k+$4.8k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.7800.885$15.4k+$1.8k
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.3800.910$10.5k+$6.1k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$1.2k+$176.06
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? · No0.8190.932$113.92+$13.92
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7010.036$5.21$94.79
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$200.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-08 20:40Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.78$13.6k
05-08 20:39Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.7799664127$8.0k
05-08 20:39Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.77$12.0k
05-08 20:36Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.77$10.0k
04-28 14:15Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.3896103895$1000.00
04-28 14:11Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81BUY0.3768411841$3.4k
04-19 16:41Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?BUY0.8185902136$100.00
04-19 16:40Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?BUY0.7006644576$100.00
04-19 16:39Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7099999999$1000.00
04-19 16:38Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0435624319$200.00