G2026
0xc14bda501c995fc8378893d7b71e91144ffed4e9
- Realised P&L
- $-117.15
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $61.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.48at 0.270Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$6.38at 0.400Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$5.67at 0.455Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?
- +$5.58at 0.640Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
- +$5.09at 0.660US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-31 00:32 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $11.11 |
| 05-31 00:31 | CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? | SELL | 0.2128549934 | $11.32 |
| 05-23 00:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-08 20:48 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 19:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-21 07:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999929 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 16:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.76 | $10.13 |
| 04-15 19:49 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 19:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 19:45 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | SELL | 0.82 | $11.23 |
| 04-15 19:45 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | SELL | 0.91 | $11.38 |
| 04-15 19:45 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $16.47 |
| 04-08 17:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999673 | $4.12 |
| 04-07 11:36 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 04-06 20:46 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |