PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

G2026

0xc14bda501c995fc8378893d7b71e91144ffed4e9

Realised P&L
$-117.15
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$61.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1760.055$13.77$30.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0920.040$8.62$11.38
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.5100.260$7.65$7.35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.135$7.50$2.50
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1330.065$7.32$7.68
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.077$4.84$5.16
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? · Yes0.2100.160$3.81$1.19
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1220.063$3.60$3.40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4390.075$3.42$16.58
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026? · Yes0.0900.022$1.25$3.75
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$10.00
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$2.95
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-31 00:32US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.5$11.11
05-31 00:31CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?SELL0.2128549934$11.32
05-23 00:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.149999976$5.00
05-08 20:48New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
04-24 19:00Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.179999987$10.00
04-21 07:32Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0779999929$10.00
04-16 16:10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.76$10.13
04-15 19:49US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.699999972$5.00
04-15 19:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.75$10.00
04-15 19:45Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?SELL0.82$11.23
04-15 19:45Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.91$11.38
04-15 19:45Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.89$16.47
04-08 17:56Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1899999673$4.12
04-07 11:36Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
04-06 20:46Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?BUY0.7299999876$10.00