0xC063CAb5CEcfDd49f596ff2f44153c397f02B8f2-1761345800781
0xc063cab5cecfdd49f596ff2f44153c397f02b8f2
- Realised P&L
- $-217.91
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $82.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.65at 0.192Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.88at 0.051Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$13.39at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$8.01at 0.104Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$4.21at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 07:29 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 06:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 01:54 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.50 |
| 08-19 00:52 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3249999675 | $4.75 |
| 08-17 17:15 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará? | BUY | 0.0411535759 | $5.50 |
| 08-17 14:29 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 14:27 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 14:27 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 14:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 14:26 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 14:25 | Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999627 | $3.00 |
| 08-17 14:24 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | BUY | 0.1199999597 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 07:16 | Government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999376 | $2.25 |
| 07-31 05:32 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1239999658 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 05:32 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1139999883 | $8.00 |