0xc01Ff7687F1380629B83fCd7b6767875C399cD8e-1771186644539
0xc01ff7687f1380629b83fcd7b6767875c399cd8e
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $1.68M
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.656Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$2.3kat 0.487Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$2.0kat 0.029Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.773Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$1.6kat 0.244Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 09:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.1942099539 | $300.00 |
| 08-08 09:23 | Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.5474095783 | $150.00 |
| 08-08 09:22 | Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.4917921147 | $137.21 |
| 08-06 18:13 | Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0310000001 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 17:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 17:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.324643382 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 15:45 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.5987868307 | $150.00 |
| 08-06 15:43 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.9601852006 | $4.8k |
| 08-06 15:32 | Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.2530156262 | $100.87 |
| 08-06 15:00 | Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.2508199876 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 14:19 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.2291688075 | $50.00 |
| 08-06 08:59 | Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 05:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | SELL | 0.38 | $93.02 |
| 08-05 05:16 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.0844108296 | $50.00 |
| 08-05 03:46 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.2856807133 | $100.00 |