PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hilaobote

0xbf982860a233f6932be6a82efd13e3a2f37fd0bf

Realised P&L
$105.74
Volume
$261.1k
Markets traded
1,115
Open portfolio
$337.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,115
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7370.115$119.93−$648.27
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.7470.745$54.84−$0.16
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1860.032$32.52−$159.57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2950.075$27.96−$82.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4250.135$17.15−$36.85
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? · No0.4760.300$15.40−$9.06
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2150.025$14.59−$108.31
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election? · No0.0330.046$14.09+$4.09
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.135$14.06−$35.94
Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2650.045$6.37−$31.09
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1590.054$3.90−$7.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4700.335$3.56−$1.44
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.017$2.87−$1.13
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3070.190$2.85−$1.75
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.1800.051$2.83−$7.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 13:18Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.1342874114$5.00
10-08 17:37Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?BUY0.08$4.00
10-08 17:08Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.1049999975$4.00
10-07 13:53Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-06 13:470 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?BUY0.03$2.75
09-23 14:19Will Solana reach $120 in September?BUY0.339999985$5.00
09-23 14:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.9208$9.21
09-18 14:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.6$6.00
09-18 14:40Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
09-18 14:39Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$7.51
09-16 17:23Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34$5.78
09-08 16:20Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0419999997$3.00
09-05 17:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2988419873$4.00
09-05 17:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4699999887$5.00
09-05 10:29LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.0290322488$3.00