hilaobote
0xbf982860a233f6932be6a82efd13e3a2f37fd0bf
- Realised P&L
- $105.74
- Volume
- $261.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,115
- Open portfolio
- $337.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,115
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$618.81at 0.295Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$330.00at 0.120LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
- +$324.99at 0.524Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$266.76at 0.272LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
- +$247.50at 0.139Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 13:18 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.1342874114 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 17:37 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 17:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1049999975 | $4.00 |
| 10-07 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 13:47 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.75 |
| 09-23 14:19 | Will Solana reach $120 in September? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 14:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.9208 | $9.21 |
| 09-18 14:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 14:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 14:39 | Will Zcash dip to $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.51 |
| 09-16 17:23 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.78 |
| 09-08 16:20 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0419999997 | $3.00 |
| 09-05 17:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2988419873 | $4.00 |
| 09-05 17:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 10:29 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.0290322488 | $3.00 |