ziggycross
0xbf6f62f47d5e7d4980db52187c996000a0bb4de7
- Realised P&L
- $87.52
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 360
- Open portfolio
- $412.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded360
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.99at 0.565Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$14.89at 0.828Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$7.51at 0.346Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$6.48at 0.690Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
- +$6.39at 0.439Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 21:20 | Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.959999986 | $22.00 |
| 08-13 16:20 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699998838 | $5.26 |
| 08-13 16:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 04:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999909 | $3.88 |
| 08-08 04:03 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 04:02 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 04:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.9299999888 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 04:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.9869999988 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 04:00 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11? | BUY | 0.9579999962 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 19:50 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.9659999949 | $2.27 |
| 07-22 19:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $2.06 |
| 07-22 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |