PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ziggycross

0xbf6f62f47d5e7d4980db52187c996000a0bb4de7

Realised P&L
$87.52
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
360
Open portfolio
$412.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded360
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8470.935$29.95+$2.81
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8700.935$21.49+$1.49
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.9440.979$20.74+$0.74
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026? · No0.9500.978$20.58+$0.58
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9540.972$20.37+$0.37
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026? · No0.9600.885$20.29$1.71
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9670.981$20.28+$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9600.968$20.16+$0.16
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · No0.9780.977$19.98$0.02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8900.865$19.44$0.56
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9710.997$15.14+$0.39
Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · No0.9470.975$15.09+$0.44
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.930$13.29+$1.57
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9270.976$12.63+$0.63
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9790.973$12.19$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 21:20Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?BUY0.959999986$22.00
08-13 16:20Anthropic acquired before 2027?BUY0.9699998838$5.26
08-13 16:19Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$4.00
08-08 04:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8799999909$3.88
08-08 04:03Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
08-08 04:02Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6$10.00
08-08 04:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.9299999888$5.00
08-08 04:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.9869999988$4.00
08-08 04:00Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?BUY0.9579999962$5.00
07-22 19:50Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.9659999949$2.27
07-22 19:19Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSELL0.99$2.06
07-22 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
07-22 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.95$1.00
07-22 19:18Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSELL0.2$1.00
07-22 19:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETBUY0.2$1.00