Eliasjunior
0xbf66f99867b47a0e7634661787c9f1375d869859
- Realised P&L
- $-54.55
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $538.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.87at 0.423Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$83.72at 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5AM ET
- +$80.63at 0.484Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$74.05at 0.493Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$71.47at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:53 | Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2999999931 | $4.37 |
| 09-16 07:51 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.64 |
| 09-14 18:35 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.37 | $10.86 |
| 09-14 18:34 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.62 | $11.38 |
| 09-12 20:06 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 09-12 20:05 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.19 |
| 09-12 20:05 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.24 |
| 09-12 20:04 | Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.48 |
| 09-12 20:04 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.98 |
| 09-12 20:02 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.554 | $1.02 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.554 | $3.18 |
| 09-11 08:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44999993 | $2.57 |
| 09-10 17:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999802 | $8.00 |
| 09-10 04:43 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.0859007361 | $9.00 |
| 09-10 04:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.67 |