PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Eliasjunior

0xbf66f99867b47a0e7634661787c9f1375d869859

Realised P&L
$-54.55
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
411
Open portfolio
$538.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded411
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.2840.350$99.39+$18.78
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.3500.340$68.09$1.94
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2750.356$65.60+$15.01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4060.425$52.46+$2.32
Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election? · Yes0.4400.810$39.37+$17.98
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · No0.1960.335$35.47+$14.71
Will Wellington Fagundes win the 2026 Mato Grosso gubernatorial election? · No0.3040.540$33.87+$14.78
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · No0.3600.660$25.75+$11.70
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2720.552$20.30+$10.30
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes0.1190.054$18.23$22.08
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.3480.375$16.68+$1.20
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.4900.760$15.26+$5.42
Will Nabor win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? · Yes0.1600.200$15.00+$3.00
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3300.535$8.92+$3.42
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4170.115$5.38$14.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 07:53Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2999999931$4.37
09-16 07:51Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?SELL0.37$4.64
09-14 18:35Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?SELL0.37$10.86
09-14 18:34Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?SELL0.62$11.38
09-12 20:06Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.4$8.00
09-12 20:05Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?SELL0.67$1.19
09-12 20:05Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?SELL0.38$1.24
09-12 20:04Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?SELL0.8$2.48
09-12 20:04Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?SELL0.67$2.98
09-12 20:02Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.554$1.02
09-12 20:01Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.554$3.18
09-11 08:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.44999993$2.57
09-10 17:30Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4399999802$8.00
09-10 04:43Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?BUY0.0859007361$9.00
09-10 04:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.51$2.67