KurtzUnburdened
0xbecffd8653a50885456e706e6843b140ab395563
- Realised P&L
- $-618.12
- Volume
- $47.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $63.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.180Will Harlequins win?
- +$-2.41at 0.570Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-6.00at 0.230Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?
- +$-10.67at 0.034Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-28.96at 0.006Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:41 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 10-30 19:39 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.809 | $24.27 |
| 10-30 19:29 | Will Iván Mordisco be arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.80 |
| 04-15 13:14 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 04-09 23:55 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0702901225 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 02:05 | Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win? | BUY | 0.2299999751 | $6.00 |
| 03-29 01:53 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 01:36 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $12.50 |
| 03-18 13:33 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.80 |
| 03-18 04:43 | Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $50.77 |
| 03-18 04:21 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.014 | $13.12 |
| 03-18 04:20 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.013 | $8.74 |
| 03-18 04:18 | Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0121942 | $1.22 |
| 03-18 04:13 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.028 | $21.84 |
| 03-18 04:11 | Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.029 | $6.20 |