PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

KurtzUnburdened

0xbecffd8653a50885456e706e6843b140ab395563

Realised P&L
$-618.12
Volume
$47.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$63.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8090.817$24.50+$0.23
Will Iván Mordisco be arrested in 2026? · Yes0.1680.180$18.00+$1.20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0250.028$13.75+$1.25
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1800.205$6.15+$0.75
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0120.015$1.29+$0.29
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.001$0.25−$4.75
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00−$486.16
Will England win? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$122.45
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$29.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:41US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.18$5.40
10-30 19:39Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.809$24.27
10-30 19:29Will Iván Mordisco be arrested in 2026?BUY0.17$6.80
04-15 13:14Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
04-09 23:55Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.0702901225$5.00
03-29 02:05Will ASM Clermont Auvergne win?BUY0.2299999751$6.00
03-29 01:53Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.01$5.00
03-29 01:36Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.025$12.50
03-18 13:33Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.007$2.80
03-18 04:43Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.06$50.77
03-18 04:21Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.014$13.12
03-18 04:20Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.013$8.74
03-18 04:18Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.0121942$1.22
03-18 04:13Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.028$21.84
03-18 04:11Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.029$6.20