VincentShonuff
0xbea65a93db5a425092972f4812758e7fe6700fae
- Realised P&L
- $173.84
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $55.21
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.66at 0.663Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$28.33at 0.150Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?
- +$18.57at 0.350Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?
- +$16.67at 0.474Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
- +$15.80at 0.559Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:39 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.4452900998 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:38 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1989999853 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:38 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3849999403 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1609999903 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 19:37 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1689999932 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 19:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4269999954 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:32 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999163 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 19:31 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.719999977 | $15.00 |
| 10-18 21:05 | GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999328 | $7.00 |
| 10-18 21:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7949999897 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 20:59 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.4819999528 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8799999765 | $3.00 |