0xbe85ccba8a3f9881d5f3d28befe21db06679c830
- Realised P&L
- $63.77
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $84.09
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.535 | $19.45 | −$0.55 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.803 | 0.771 | $14.41 | −$0.59 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No | 0.810 | 0.935 | $11.54 | +$1.54 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.355 | $10.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.665 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.685 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.220 | $4.89 | −$5.11 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.105 | $2.33 | −$7.67 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No | 0.978 | 0.992 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.59at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.57at 0.293Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
- +$17.78at 0.360Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$15.36at 0.073Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$13.15at 0.432Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999904 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 20:41 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 20:37 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 20:34 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 20:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 18:20 | Solana Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 18:19 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.50 |
| 09-02 18:19 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.96 |
| 07-31 05:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 07-18 20:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $78.18 |
| 07-11 22:01 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4829999925 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 22:00 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8029999975 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 22:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | BUY | 0.899999892 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:49 | Norway to score first vs. England? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.81 |
| 07-11 20:49 | Norway to score first vs. England? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |