PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbe85ccba8a3f9881d5f3d28befe21db06679c830

Realised P&L
$63.77
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$84.09

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes0.5500.535$19.45$0.55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8030.771$14.41$0.59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8100.935$11.54+$1.54
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.3400.355$10.44+$0.44
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.6600.665$10.08+$0.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6900.685$9.93$0.07
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4500.220$4.89$5.11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.105$2.33$7.67
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? · No0.9780.992$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:41Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?BUY0.5499999904$20.00
09-15 20:41Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4499999843$10.00
09-15 20:37Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
09-15 20:34Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
09-15 20:34Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6899999821$10.00
09-02 18:20Solana Up or Down - September 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.4799999827$10.00
09-02 18:19Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.013$0.50
09-02 18:19Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.023$0.96
07-31 05:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
07-18 20:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$78.18
07-11 22:01Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4829999925$10.00
07-11 22:00Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8029999975$15.00
07-11 22:00Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?BUY0.899999892$5.00
07-11 21:49Norway to score first vs. England?SELL0.999$12.81
07-11 20:49Norway to score first vs. England?BUY0.3899999774$5.00