PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

2KTrade

0xbde45534e0d96283c55210005c34cf00d66a6109

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$113.9k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$12.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.972$4.0k+$34.59
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.9360.935$2.1k−$2.62
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7530.795$1.1k+$60.23
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6200.640$989.59+$31.59
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9180.915$962.34−$3.74
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7070.715$715.00+$8.00
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6010.625$625.00+$24.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8700.861$559.33−$6.17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8220.815$454.07−$3.93
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.9470.837$372.56−$49.19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · No0.7730.976$218.91+$45.56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6700.885$88.50+$21.50
Will England win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00−$399.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 14:35US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$184.00
10-11 14:35US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$368.00
10-11 14:34US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$276.00
10-09 16:49Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.61$61.00
10-09 14:30Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.963$3.8k
10-05 23:11Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.95$1.8k
10-05 20:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.88$600.00
10-05 20:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.88$600.00
10-05 20:22Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?SELL0.08$36.41
10-05 20:08Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.4394649511$200.00
10-05 18:32Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6762096757$400.00
10-05 18:32Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6597800729$300.00
10-04 22:10Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?SELL0.2865003336$8.59
10-04 22:07Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?BUY0.9629667635$400.00
10-04 22:02Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0201612273$91.04