2KTrade
0xbde45534e0d96283c55210005c34cf00d66a6109
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $113.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $12.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.29at 0.648US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$509.65at 0.768Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$374.21at 0.718Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$331.65at 0.694US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
- +$194.35at 0.856Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:35 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 10-11 14:35 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $368.00 |
| 10-11 14:34 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $276.00 |
| 10-09 16:49 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 10-09 14:30 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $3.8k |
| 10-05 23:11 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.8k |
| 10-05 20:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $600.00 |
| 10-05 20:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $600.00 |
| 10-05 20:22 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | SELL | 0.08 | $36.41 |
| 10-05 20:08 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.4394649511 | $200.00 |
| 10-05 18:32 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6762096757 | $400.00 |
| 10-05 18:32 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6597800729 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 22:10 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | SELL | 0.2865003336 | $8.59 |
| 10-04 22:07 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.9629667635 | $400.00 |
| 10-04 22:02 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0201612273 | $91.04 |