BTCisaHarshMistress
0xbdd11cc911ec8ed95887e56dc253d70cb36b0c4f
- Realised P&L
- $-16.4k
- Volume
- $4.11M
- Markets traded
- 3,017
- Open portfolio
- $6.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,017
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.7kat 0.058Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$11.5kat 0.115Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$6.1kat 0.171Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$4.0kat 0.195Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
- +$3.8kat 0.004Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 21:58 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 09-16 21:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.72 | $33.12 |
| 09-16 21:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $92.00 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 09-16 02:35 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.97 | $89.24 |
| 09-16 02:25 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.91 | $151.06 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |
| 09-15 21:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $311.52 |
| 09-15 16:31 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $5.04 |
| 09-15 12:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | SELL | 0.14 | $74.06 |
| 09-15 11:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.36 | $62.28 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $27.04 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $19.52 |
| 09-15 11:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |