PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

BTCisaHarshMistress

0xbdd11cc911ec8ed95887e56dc253d70cb36b0c4f

Realised P&L
$-16.4k
Volume
$4.11M
Markets traded
3,017
Open portfolio
$6.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,017
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.7500.705$4.4k$284.73
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat? · Yes0.7860.770$282.71$5.76
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.9130.850$265.08$19.81
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat? · No0.8050.771$243.02$10.45
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1330.045$183.84$357.79
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3460.305$182.99$24.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4750.455$182.00$8.00
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.4540.267$171.50$120.46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4600.445$89.00$3.00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1550.045$79.56$194.84
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0840.034$70.12$106.38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.7150.695$66.72$1.90
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4700.415$62.25$8.25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4500.405$60.75$6.75
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.3600.245$42.38$19.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4$20.00
09-16 21:58Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.63$63.00
09-16 21:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.72$33.12
09-16 21:56Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.46$92.00
09-16 21:55Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.48$96.00
09-16 02:35Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsBUY0.97$89.24
09-16 02:25Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsBUY0.91$151.06
09-15 21:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$26.70
09-15 21:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$311.52
09-15 16:31Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$5.04
09-15 12:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?SELL0.14$74.06
09-15 11:06Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.36$62.28
09-15 11:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.16$27.04
09-15 11:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.16$19.52
09-15 11:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 15?BUY0.15$7.50