iusnaturale
0xbd06b49ac2168a4a48fcfb219d323549a459a6f5
- Realised P&L
- $-68.33
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $92.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.05at 0.370UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$31.07at 0.677Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- +$13.03at 0.756Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$6.95at 0.590Will the US strike Somalia next?
- +$6.80at 0.660US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 17:05 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.85 |
| 10-06 16:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-06 16:52 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-06 16:49 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-06 16:47 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 10-06 16:46 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 16:44 | Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 10-06 16:40 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 16:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 06:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 06-30 20:08 | Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.63 | $18.89 |
| 06-30 17:46 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.12 | $10.91 |
| 06-30 17:45 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 17:30 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.80 |
| 06-30 17:30 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.29 | $22.31 |