bigbiba
0xbced9efd4922f71074dacf2f57cad5a6aaeb84e9
- Realised P&L
- $-47.32
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $41.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.72at 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.17at 0.110Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$36.42at 0.120Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$13.52at 0.270Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$8.73at 0.371Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:04 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.1399540347 | $4.11 |
| 07-29 23:10 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.9108326395 | $10.94 |
| 07-27 23:51 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.02 |
| 07-25 21:28 | Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 08:40 | Will July 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.011999988 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 23? | BUY | 0.1149999005 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 05:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-23 05:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.1641790612 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 02:10 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999503 | $4.00 |
| 07-22 02:03 | Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 02:03 | Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 01:43 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.2953000464 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 01:43 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 01:43 | Will Trey Gowdy be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 02:44 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999599 | $2.00 |