kkff1
0xbc5b970093a56c2704f3e9a6ac621a50dd7e30be
- Realised P&L
- $3.05
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $16.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.08at 0.148Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?
- +$2.66at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 30?
- +$1.98at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?
- +$1.91at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.49 |
| 10-14 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.993 | $1.74 |
| 10-14 15:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6199997024 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:03 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.1019999955 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:59 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6919998588 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |