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Traders

0xbc4c512b894dba258958de5271bcc4c3ff27dd8f

Realised P&L
$-4.82
Volume
$468.39
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$2.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8200.815$0.99$0.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8700.835$0.96$0.04
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.1300.042$0.32$0.68
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7470.146$0.20$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:31Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-18 14:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.993$1.01
09-01 14:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.9719995529$1.00
08-28 15:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
08-28 15:10Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.477$1.31
08-28 15:10Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.96$1.03
06-11 08:40Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?BUY0.9$1.00
05-25 17:53Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?BUY0.9859997614$1.00
05-24 14:14Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.976$1.02
05-16 18:17XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.7$1.00
05-16 18:16XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.84$1.08
05-16 18:15XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.78$1.00
05-16 17:55Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.959999616$1.00
05-16 17:53Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9369999869$1.00
05-16 17:52Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.935$0.99
Trader 0xbc4c…dd8f · PolyBot Pro