PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fff4892

0xbc4251fe6ce3d0b5e65012e18e08b416e94000ad

Realised P&L
$12.52
Volume
$206.03
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$76.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 20:36Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-31 20:34Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
07-31 20:26Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by August 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
07-31 20:16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0409999622$1.00
07-31 20:15Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
07-31 20:13 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-31 20:12US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-31 20:11Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-31 18:54Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0379999641$1.00
07-31 18:48Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
07-31 18:43Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?BUY0.1904761905$1.00
07-31 18:06Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-31 18:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-31 17:59Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-31 14:43Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6099999961$50.00