pecepe
0xbc0d572d1abb04e9fe39781fbd9db5728922d3a5
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $128.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,684
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,684
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.22at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$240.00at 0.282Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$203.44at 0.220Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?
- +$176.27at 0.028Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$152.28at 0.636Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 10-21 07:43 | Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.73 | $59.96 |
| 10-20 17:08 | Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.40 |
| 10-20 17:03 | Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-22 17:30 | US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 07-18 07:56 | Will "Different" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20? | SELL | 0.132 | $5.10 |
| 07-17 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.21 | $8.82 |
| 07-16 18:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.64 |
| 07-16 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-16 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 07-15 09:42 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-15 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 17? | BUY | 0.705 | $7.33 |
| 07-11 23:21 | Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.91 | $78.38 |
| 07-11 23:21 | Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.44 | $80.89 |
| 07-11 20:43 | Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.3 | $12.30 |