PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pecepe

0xbc0d572d1abb04e9fe39781fbd9db5728922d3a5

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$128.9k
Markets traded
2,684
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,684
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8410.981$98.10+$14.00
Will "Blue" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No0.2400.270$56.16+$6.24
Will "Nordic" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.3400.380$55.86+$5.88
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 2? · No0.3900.430$55.04+$5.12
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No0.2200.250$54.79+$6.58
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 15+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.5500.600$54.00+$4.50
Will "Red" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No0.1900.215$53.97+$6.28
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9090.980$53.88+$3.88
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.6300.675$53.33+$3.56
Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.8000.850$52.70+$3.10
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9460.992$52.40+$2.40
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.140$49.00−$14.00
Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · Yes0.4000.375$46.88−$3.13
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · No0.1100.655$32.98+$27.44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.7400.681$32.45−$2.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on November 1?SELL0.29$5.80
10-21 07:43Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?SELL0.73$59.96
10-20 17:08Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?BUY0.27$7.40
10-20 17:03Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?BUY0.26$1.30
07-22 17:30US congress stock trading ban before 2027?BUY0.87$9.57
07-18 07:56Will "Different" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 20?SELL0.132$5.10
07-17 16:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 19?SELL0.21$8.82
07-16 18:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 18?BUY0.44$2.64
07-16 06:37Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 18?BUY0.66$3.30
07-16 06:09Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 18?BUY0.44$4.40
07-15 09:42Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 17?BUY0.41$8.20
07-15 07:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 17?BUY0.705$7.33
07-11 23:21Will the announcers say "Cleat" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.91$78.38
07-11 23:21Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.44$80.89
07-11 20:43Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.3$12.30