Nardo99
0xbb9f12f1bd43d876d60e01e563f9cb6998ef1893
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $131.0k
- Markets traded
- 468
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded468
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.00at 0.500Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$250.00at 0.500Will "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$219.14at 0.991MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$202.01at 0.759Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
- +$162.88at 0.335Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:26 | Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.123 | $2.14 |
| 10-13 08:44 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 08:37 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-13 08:00 | Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $6.82 |
| 10-12 21:33 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 10-12 20:32 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 10-09 11:00 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-01 19:27 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.652 | $3.26 |
| 10-01 18:01 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 10-01 17:28 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |
| 09-30 20:20 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.136 | $2.04 |
| 09-30 15:10 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 14:43 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 12:38 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $28.00 |
| 09-30 11:51 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $24.30 |