PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

firstbroad

0xbb9734141b4f3136cd2a2a0c605b00398288603b

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$61.2k
Markets traded
2,840
Open portfolio
$225.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,840
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.4700.510$76.00+$6.00
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No0.6690.490$51.22−$18.76
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · No0.4600.660$40.54+$12.29
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? · Yes0.7550.340$11.15−$13.61
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3? · No0.8860.860$6.13−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3? · No0.9440.949$5.34+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3? · No0.7100.715$5.33+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3? · No0.9020.779$4.61−$0.73
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3? · No0.9690.989$4.45+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 3? · No0.8450.710$4.20−$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3? · No0.6900.685$3.07−$0.02
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker? · No0.9290.982$2.67+$0.14
Will Choi-wan peak at severe tropical storm grade or weaker? · Yes0.0630.018$2.47−$6.11
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 3? · No0.9491.000$1.50+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 3? · No0.8090.966$1.46+$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 15:45Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?BUY0.9689991395$1.09
10-03 15:45Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 3?BUY0.948999996$1.42
10-03 15:35Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 3?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-03 15:01Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?BUY0.5$1.08
10-03 15:01Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?SELL0.49$1.13
10-03 14:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?BUY0.941999551$1.41
10-03 13:50Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?BUY0.9669995866$1.09
10-03 13:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3?BUY0.9639994835$1.09
10-03 13:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?BUY0.9459994217$1.42
10-03 13:34Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3?BUY0.7399998604$1.06
10-03 13:25Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 3?BUY0.9579999959$1.40
10-03 13:20Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 3?BUY0.8089999476$1.22
10-03 12:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3?BUY0.7199998654$1.07
10-03 12:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?BUY0.889999911$1.00
10-03 12:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?BUY0.6699999196$1.00