firstbroad
0xbb9734141b4f3136cd2a2a0c605b00398288603b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $61.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,840
- Open portfolio
- $225.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,840
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.23at 0.426Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 31?
- +$82.06at 0.425Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3?
- +$79.23at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 1?
- +$78.51at 0.478Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?
- +$73.35at 0.458Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9689991395 | $1.09 |
| 10-03 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.948999996 | $1.42 |
| 10-03 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:01 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.08 |
| 10-03 15:01 | Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $1.13 |
| 10-03 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.941999551 | $1.41 |
| 10-03 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9669995866 | $1.09 |
| 10-03 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9639994835 | $1.09 |
| 10-03 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9459994217 | $1.42 |
| 10-03 13:34 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.7399998604 | $1.06 |
| 10-03 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.9579999959 | $1.40 |
| 10-03 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.8089999476 | $1.22 |
| 10-03 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.7199998654 | $1.07 |
| 10-03 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |