PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc

Realised P&L
$386.29
Volume
$28.7k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$437.26

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No0.5820.605$103.88+$3.88
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6800.655$96.32$3.68
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3500.395$33.86+$3.86
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6700.685$30.67+$0.67
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1470.065$29.25$36.75
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2600.185$14.23$5.77
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.041$12.09$7.91
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.2300.130$11.30$8.70
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.042$10.50$4.50
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.1200.041$10.25$19.75
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.026$9.81$0.18
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0410.037$9.02$0.98
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.1350.022$8.90$45.81
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1790.075$8.36$11.64
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.1100.081$7.36$2.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:34Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.6699999999$400.00
08-01 20:03Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.5799999977$250.00
07-22 21:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.2299999931$20.00
07-22 21:50Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-22 21:50Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0409999959$10.00
07-22 21:49Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETBUY0.34$5.10
07-19 18:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5849999958$56.00
07-15 11:21Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1349999731$5.00
07-15 11:19Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
07-15 11:15Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.34$81.60
07-15 11:14Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?BUY0.0357088177$2.52
07-15 11:11Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3524999989$190.00
07-15 11:08Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999854$5.00
07-12 06:15Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
07-09 16:13Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.8140794223$110.00