0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc
0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc
- Realised P&L
- $653.47
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $939.69
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$467.60at 0.618Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$201.16at 0.304Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$195.92at 0.707Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$174.42at 0.708Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
- +$167.02at 0.614Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 21:18 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 15:28 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.719999998 | $71.00 |
| 09-22 15:27 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $99.00 |
| 09-22 15:23 | JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $8.00 |
| 09-22 15:20 | Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 15:19 | Will Congress override any veto in 2026? | BUY | 0.0571684585 | $11.00 |
| 09-22 15:15 | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BUY | 0.69 | $48.30 |
| 09-22 15:14 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 15:12 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0489999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 15:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 15:07 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $250.00 |
| 08-12 02:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 11:16 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.75 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999942 | $4.00 |
| 08-10 11:14 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.111724786 | $5.35 |