0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc
- Realised P&L
- $477.28
- Volume
- $34.2k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$467.60at 0.618Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$201.16at 0.304Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$174.42at 0.708Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx
- +$167.02at 0.614Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers
- +$165.78at 0.615Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 02:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 08-10 11:16 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.75 |
| 08-10 11:15 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999942 | $4.00 |
| 08-10 11:14 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.111724786 | $5.35 |
| 08-10 11:12 | Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-10 11:10 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6799999996 | $455.00 |
| 08-10 11:01 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 08-09 10:24 | Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $215.00 |
| 08-09 10:23 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andrea Guerrieri | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 10:23 | Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Jerome Kym | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 10:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $14.48 |
| 08-08 10:20 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5783191727 | $250.00 |
| 08-08 10:15 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 15:39 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 15:37 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6199999998 | $175.00 |