PolyBot

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Traders

0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc

0xbb96d0ae7b69f47c8ee24364f9cb2ee69ee2d3fc

Realised P&L
$653.47
Volume
$36.0k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$939.69

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7170.745$414.33+$15.33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6960.645$158.46−$12.54
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6600.705$106.82+$6.82
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0990.035$42.14−$78.62
Will Congress override any veto in 2026? · Yes0.0570.218$41.95+$30.95
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6700.735$32.91+$2.91
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2400.285$23.75+$3.75
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3500.195$16.71−$13.29
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0490.031$12.65−$7.35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by December 31? · Yes0.0600.048$11.58−$2.90
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.020$11.42−$47.29
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.033$8.25−$6.75
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0270.017$6.30−$3.70
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · Yes0.0500.038$6.16−$1.84
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0670.019$5.82−$14.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 21:18Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$50.00
09-22 15:28Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.719999998$71.00
09-22 15:27Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$99.00
09-22 15:23JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.05$8.00
09-22 15:20Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?BUY0.12$6.00
09-22 15:19Will Congress override any veto in 2026?BUY0.0571684585$11.00
09-22 15:15Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY0.69$48.30
09-22 15:14Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2399999981$20.00
09-22 15:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0489999999$20.00
09-22 15:082026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6599999979$100.00
09-22 15:07Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999997$250.00
08-12 02:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
08-10 11:16Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$3.75
08-10 11:15Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0239999942$4.00
08-10 11:14Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.111724786$5.35