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Traders

knyzh

0xbadaceb5a7752879cc226cdb1407fd930b58fe22

Realised P&L
$519.53
Volume
$41.3k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.7600.875$115.13+$15.13
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.6800.765$112.50+$12.50
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · No0.8600.965$112.21+$12.21
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? · No0.8980.994$110.70+$10.70
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? · No0.7500.825$110.00+$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.8800.965$109.66+$9.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? · No0.8600.895$104.07+$4.07
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? · No0.7800.790$101.28+$1.28
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.8700.875$100.57+$0.57
Nothing Ever Happens: August · Nothing0.8240.820$99.49$0.51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8700.865$99.43$0.57
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7970.775$97.22$2.78
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.7160.695$97.09$2.91
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.5290.445$84.07$15.93
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · Yes0.5950.660$55.44+$5.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:56Nothing Ever Happens: AugustBUY0.8242222011$100.00
08-04 14:55Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?BUY0.8979123035$100.00
08-04 14:53Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.5293140082$100.00
08-04 14:51Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?BUY0.7799999995$100.00
08-04 14:51Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999935$100.00
08-03 20:59Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?BUY0.5952380952$50.00
08-03 20:55Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?BUY0.75$100.00
08-03 20:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7157057645$100.00
08-03 20:50US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7972002328$100.00
08-03 20:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.7599999927$100.00
08-03 20:46Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
08-03 20:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$139.02
08-03 20:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.8699999999$100.00
08-03 20:44Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8699999957$100.00
07-20 13:06Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.8599999959$100.00
Trader knyzh · PolyBot