knyzh
0xbadaceb5a7752879cc226cdb1407fd930b58fe22
- Realised P&L
- $454.45
- Volume
- $43.6k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.22at 0.170Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
- +$102.15at 0.329Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
- +$88.68at 0.530Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$69.49at 0.590Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$68.47at 0.745Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 21:35 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.8495411944 | $185.35 |
| 09-12 21:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 11:16 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 11:15 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8427473155 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 11:13 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7264404411 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:43 | Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8024386206 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:40 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8383233483 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.869999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:36 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 20:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 11:55 | Kash Patel out by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $81.00 |
| 08-25 11:55 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9058782536 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 11:54 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999954 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 11:53 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7916719936 | $100.00 |