knyzh
0xbadaceb5a7752879cc226cdb1407fd930b58fe22
- Realised P&L
- $519.53
- Volume
- $41.3k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.22at 0.170Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
- +$102.15at 0.329Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
- +$88.68at 0.530Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$69.49at 0.590Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$68.47at 0.745Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:56 | Nothing Ever Happens: August | BUY | 0.8242222011 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8979123035 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.5293140082 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:51 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:59 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.5952380952 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 20:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:52 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7157057645 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:50 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7972002328 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:46 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.7599999927 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $139.02 |
| 08-03 20:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999957 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 13:06 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |