PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0dF6E8A524D7014fe60614067Ee0E7CFE5f7ff8e-1767623057979

0xba7b7b181e4495333f0e4fa5216fe47ae4deb3a8

Realised P&L
$-28.47
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$47.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.255$15.30+$0.30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3680.335$10.92−$1.08
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.3700.590$3.19+$1.19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.4000.425$3.19+$0.19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No0.3300.395$2.39+$0.39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8100.815$2.01+$0.01
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · Yes0.0180.018$2.00+$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8600.850$1.98−$0.02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8500.835$1.96−$0.04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.8500.835$1.96−$0.04
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1000.095$1.90−$0.10
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9520.950$1.00−$0.00
Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.3700.001$0.00−$2.00
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State · Arkansas State0.5900.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 19:41Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5SELL0.99$3.80
10-10 19:36Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-10 19:29William & Mary vs. North Carolina CentralSELL0.49$2.22
10-10 18:11Jagiellonia Bialystok vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5BUY0.5199999792$2.00
10-10 17:10Will Jagiellonia Bialystok win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
10-10 16:45Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.8099999352$2.00
10-10 16:00Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSELL0.07$0.84
10-10 15:58William & Mary vs. North Carolina CentralBUY0.439999956$2.00
10-10 15:52Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSELL0.75$0.97
10-10 15:50Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.25$2.00
10-10 15:50Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.25$1.00
10-10 15:48Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.77$1.00
10-10 15:23Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.918$4.98
10-10 14:42Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.2534630622$10.88
10-10 14:41Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.86$4.82