PolyBot

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Traders

0xb9fefa9530f4a04d8500daded06db47ebaf21075

0xb9fefa9530f4a04d8500daded06db47ebaf21075

Realised P&L
$20.80
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$8.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.974$2.13+$0.13
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.6200.910$1.47+$0.47
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2260.165$1.46$0.54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7900.865$1.09+$0.09
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9800.975$0.99$0.01
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.0640.025$0.78$1.22
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.035$0.31$0.69
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6200.180$0.29$0.71
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · Yes0.7400.125$0.17$0.83
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4400.003$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 00:19Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-11 00:13Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 22:45Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.99799901$1.00
08-03 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-03 12:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$5.62
08-03 11:14Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.74$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.02$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00