0xb9fefa9530f4a04d8500daded06db47ebaf21075
- Realised P&L
- $22.84
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $78.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.11at 0.101US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$10.09at 0.471MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$5.15at 0.112Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
- +$4.07at 0.495Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$4.06at 0.552US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 19:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $5.62 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |