0xab840aF1b0F9FeD77DF6484eeD235ebe79Ca41f7-1772978175960
0xb9d1a113d6a885d60fb811a9c7d3f1d1767d6de5
- Realised P&L
- $102.60
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 142
- Open portfolio
- $470.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded142
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.43at 0.338Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
- +$21.25at 0.400Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?
- +$17.79at 0.430Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$14.90at 0.480Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$11.18at 0.420Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:12 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.80 |
| 11-01 08:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.62 |
| 11-01 08:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.14 |
| 11-01 07:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 1? | BUY | 0.051 | $0.43 |
| 11-01 07:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $7.64 |
| 11-01 06:59 | Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.54 |
| 11-01 06:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | SELL | 0.33 | $11.59 |
| 11-01 04:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $10.89 |
| 11-01 04:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.73 |
| 11-01 01:10 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.26 | $25.00 |
| 10-31 23:46 | Spread: Missouri (-10.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $8.54 |
| 10-31 20:46 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-31 20:44 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-31 20:14 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.6 | $18.42 |
| 10-31 19:25 | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.6 | $14.32 |