darkdata
0xb959537b625991c468ce5623c4810c3941d72d5e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$468.00at 0.415US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$176.60at 0.696Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$154.00at 0.615US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$130.02at 0.610U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?
- +$119.70at 0.734U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 17:13 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | BUY | 0.974 | $155.84 |
| 10-21 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 10-21 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-21 16:10 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.958 | $191.60 |
| 10-21 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 10-21 15:45 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 10-21 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 22? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.46 |
| 10-21 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.30 |
| 10-21 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $60.90 |
| 10-21 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-21 15:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.987 | $84.88 |
| 10-21 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.987 | $49.35 |
| 10-21 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.979 | $34.27 |
| 10-21 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 10-21 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.9522086 | $47.61 |