0xB943c91557ecE0D6a62044D00ec9664AaF079bbe-1777320000365
0xb943c91557ece0d6a62044d00ec9664aaf079bbe
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $133.1k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$740.60at 0.635Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$234.10at 0.424Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
- +$179.60at 0.189Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$64.23at 0.694Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
- +$57.20at 0.313Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:33 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.7459459459 | $92.00 |
| 10-29 22:31 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.79 | $92.35 |
| 10-29 12:58 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.8 | $261.99 |
| 10-29 12:57 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.917350276 | $264.22 |
| 10-29 12:55 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.8 | $145.05 |
| 10-29 12:54 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $70.56 |
| 10-29 12:54 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9096641701 | $75.30 |
| 10-29 12:30 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.8199999997 | $508.21 |
| 10-28 16:09 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $150.00 |
| 10-28 16:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.55 | $149.72 |
| 10-26 12:31 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.7563191747 | $566.00 |
| 10-26 12:31 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $131.40 |
| 10-26 12:30 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $434.09 |
| 10-26 12:29 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $55.00 |
| 10-26 12:29 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7067810712 | $54.37 |