0xB913F935611643b951E458Db86FaB2Dcd3AaB4d8-1782793094956
0xb913f935611643b951e458db86fab2dcd3aab4d8
- Realised P&L
- $-138.27
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $783.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$198.58at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$128.61at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
- +$102.74at 0.791Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$73.69at 0.692LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
- +$46.41at 0.870Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 16:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 10-29 16:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 10-21 16:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.87 | $310.59 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-16 07:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $165.33 |
| 09-16 07:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $42.39 |
| 08-20 01:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7199999974 | $200.00 |
| 08-18 17:26 | LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.17 | $5.10 |
| 08-13 15:48 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 08-12 16:47 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $152.00 |
| 08-12 16:38 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 08-05 15:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |
| 08-02 17:27 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.00 |
| 07-29 18:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $494.27 |
| 07-28 17:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | SELL | 0.0106901311 | $0.31 |